Financial & Economic Frameworks
| Status: Coming Soon | Expected: Q4 2026 |
Overview
This domain addresses the intersection of financial systems and economic policy—tools for understanding how capital flows, risk dynamics, and market structures interact with community development and household welfare.
Technical Approach
Problems Addressed
- Representative agent fiction — Standard macro models assume identical households, missing how shocks affect different wealth levels differently
- Regulatory fragmentation — Basel, CECL, and stress testing requirements use different methodologies that don’t integrate cleanly
- Network blindness — Bilateral exposure data is scarce; systemic risk assessment requires inference from partial information
- Macro-financial disconnect — Real economy models often ignore financial frictions; financial models ignore real economy feedback
- Household heterogeneity — Aggregate statistics obscure financial fragility concentrated in specific population segments
Methodological Foundations
Our frameworks build on established financial and macroeconomic methods:
| Method | Application | Key References |
|---|---|---|
| Basel III/IV | Capital adequacy, liquidity coverage, leverage ratios | Basel Committee on Banking Supervision |
| CECL | Current expected credit loss provisioning | FASB ASC 326 |
| CCAR/DFAST | Supervisory stress testing scenarios | Federal Reserve stress testing methodology |
| DSGE | Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium with financial frictions | Smets-Wouters, Gertler-Karadi |
| HANK | Heterogeneous agent New Keynesian models | Kaplan, Moll, Violante (2018) |
| Network Contagion | Interbank exposure and cascade dynamics | Eisenberg-Noe clearing, DebtRank |
| VaR/ES | Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall | Basel market risk standards |
Analysis Outputs
- Risk metrics — LCR, NSFR, capital ratios, VaR, Expected Shortfall with confidence bounds
- Stress test results — Capital depletion paths under adverse scenarios
- Contagion maps — Network visualization of systemic risk transmission
- Macro projections — GDP, inflation, employment under policy scenarios with heterogeneous household impacts
- Distributional analysis — Wealth and debt burden dynamics by household quintile
- Regulatory compliance — Structured outputs aligned with supervisory reporting requirements
Appropriate Applications
- Bank regulatory compliance and internal risk assessment
- Macroprudential policy analysis
- Central bank research on monetary transmission
- Academic research on financial stability
- Household financial fragility assessment
- Community development financial institution (CDFI) analysis
- Grant applications for financial inclusion research
Planned Capabilities
Risk Assessment Infrastructure
- Systemic risk indicators with distributional decomposition
- Stress testing frameworks for policy scenarios
- Contagion modeling in financial networks
Macroeconomic Modeling
- General equilibrium solvers with financial sector integration
- Monetary-fiscal policy interaction analysis
- Open economy extensions for trade and capital flows
Household Finance Analysis
- Wealth distribution dynamics and mobility
- Debt burden and financial fragility indicators
- Access to credit and financial inclusion metrics
Development Status
| Component | Status |
|---|---|
| Risk modeling core | Design Phase |
| Macro-financial integration | Design Phase |
| Household finance module | Not Started |
| Validation protocols | Not Started |
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